In Part Four of Irregular Warfare Initiative’s special series examining the unfolding conflict with Iran, Hamlet Yousef (National Security Investor/ IWI Economic & Legal Warfare Advisor), Ioannis Koskinas (CEO, Hoplite Group), and Tom Johansmeyer (Co-Director, IWI Economic & Legal Warfare Team) analyze the shifting geoeconomic landscape of the conflict and its cascading effects on global markets and strategic competition. Moderated by Jackie Giunta of the Irregular Warfare Initiative’s Engagements team, the discussion focuses on how economic tools—energy disruption, maritime insecurity, and financial resilience—are being used alongside asymmetric tactics to shape outcomes.
The panel challenges prevailing assumptions around timelines, leverage, and escalation, offering a more disciplined view of what is actually driving the conflict forward. From the durability of Iran’s economic position to the risks of escalation tied to key infrastructure and force posture decisions, this conversation provides a sharper lens into how pressure is being applied—and where it may lead next.
Image credit: NASA satellite imagery of Ras Laffan (2006), courtesy of Wikimedia Commons.
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